Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.432564 0.495421 0.563386 0.642231 0.731071 0.827966 0.941537
2025-04-27 0.348304 0.436215 0.539074 0.667853 0.824281 1.007617 1.238220
2025-05-04 0.278102 0.378673 0.505283 0.675268 0.896262 1.172441 1.542129
2025-05-11 0.222921 0.328509 0.470883 0.674824 0.956976 1.330671 1.859570
2025-05-18 0.181049 0.287495 0.440573 0.673420 1.014464 1.490596 2.199097
2025-05-25 0.149932 0.255449 0.416613 0.675783 1.075747 1.661489 2.573297
2025-06-01 0.126585 0.230472 0.398354 0.682618 1.142880 1.846919 2.988449
2025-06-08 0.105600 0.205029 0.374665 0.676376 1.187547 2.002011 3.373610
2025-06-15 0.092339 0.190240 0.365792 0.692308 1.268596 2.220962 3.879799
2025-06-22 0.077958 0.170441 0.344688 0.683401 1.305635 2.371087 4.288370
2025-06-29 0.068359 0.157954 0.334677 0.692416 1.374046 2.579344 4.812913
2025-07-06 0.057596 0.140844 0.312887 0.675721 1.392859 2.702265 5.200473
2025-07-13 0.052131 0.134269 0.311379 0.698989 1.490711 2.978255 5.890686
2025-07-20 0.047694 0.129146 0.312072 0.726790 1.600674 3.287434 6.670954
2025-07-27 0.042303 0.120610 0.303968 0.734877 1.671955 3.530429 7.350116
2025-08-03 0.037096 0.111390 0.292753 0.734447 1.725306 3.743442 7.990938
2025-08-10 0.032569 0.102924 0.281835 0.732961 1.775907 3.955299 8.647864
2025-08-17 0.028883 0.095921 0.273249 0.735535 1.835407 4.190357 9.371274
2025-08-24 0.025908 0.090266 0.267080 0.742936 1.906397 4.455476 10.178392
2025-08-31 0.022714 0.083176 0.255906 0.736199 1.943640 4.651611 10.857302
2025-09-07 0.020845 0.079808 0.254222 0.753421 2.039532 4.983647 11.852600
2025-09-14 0.018262 0.073436 0.242986 0.743800 2.068814 5.169842 12.545900
2025-09-21 0.016605 0.069823 0.239112 0.753545 2.147398 5.474588 13.525656